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April
20th 2004: ConjuChem (CJC.TO or CJHMF in the US) recently released
data on the first 30 days (including a titration period) of the
monotherapy portion of a Phase II trial in patients receiving
DAC:GLP1 for type II diabetes. Just to remind readers—this
injectable drug is an almost fully human version of glucagon-like
peptide 1 (GLP-1) with a linker and chemical moiety that enables it
to bind albumin once injected. The novel albumin binding aspect
allows for a long duration of action as opposed to the naked GLP-1
molecule. GLP-1 has proven itself to be a good drug for type II
diabetes. Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN) in partnership with Lilly
has taken a non-human version into late stage trials with excellent
results. The problem with Amylin’s product is that patients
develop antibodies (so far non-neutralizing) and the drug has to be
given twice daily by injection. They are currently working on a
long-acting formulation with Alkermes but I believe that project
could have some problems (nausea) if the depot release is not very
precise. The point is that this approach is both well validated and
novel. Novo Nordisk also has a compound ready to enter Phase III
trials and it is likely to be dosed once daily—so it may be more
convenient than Amlyin’s Exenatide. I believe that ConjuChems
entry may have a better dosing profile than any of the other
competing products. The second portion of the current Phase II study
due to complete in June will examine a few alternate dosing
schedules. We should have the results later in the summer. Other
large pharmas are in late stage trials with an oral agent designed
to inhibit the enzyme that destroys GLP-1. So far this approach
seems to work but I am very uncomfortable with the possible
side-effect issues that could crop up with such a broad-brush drug
(the DPPIV system works on other peptides as well) used over
prolonged periods in a large population.
The
current CJC trial is a monotherapy trial in which poorly controlled
patients are taken off their current oral diabetic medications and
treated only with the DAC:GLP1 product. There were no special
dietary restrictions. The recently released results reported on the
daily-dosing portion of the trial and in all respects were
excellent. The data was very solid especially the .8% decrease in
hemoglobin A1C (a long-term measure of glucose control). This is
very good in light of patients only being on full doses of drug for
a short time (part of the 30 days was a titration period to mitigate
the nausea seen with this class of drug). When compared to an early
study of Exenatide (Diabetes Care, vol. 26 No. 8 August 2003) where
drug was used for a 28 day period in combination with other oral
diabetic medications and diet---the results were similar (in the
Exenatide study HbA1c reductions were from .7 to 1.1%) ---but again
these patients were also on other diabetic medications and on a
diet. One thing I found very interesting was that patients in the
current study had a significant weight loss and this wasn’t the
case in the short-term Amylin trial. According to CJC management the
weight loss did not correlate with nausea and vomiting so this makes
it even more impressive. Another point of comparison is that
Exenatide was given either two or three times daily by injection
while DAP:GLP-1 was only given once daily. Nausea was about the same
in both studies and was a cause of dropouts—but this will be true
for all the GLP-1 products. There were no hypoglycemic events in the
CJC trial—an important point. So with out going over all the
details of the trial I think the results were impressive and I have
a high level of confidence that release of data from the
randomization phase (to longer dosing intervals) will show that
DAC:GLP-1 can be dosed on an every-other-day or better schedule (at
least in some patients)---but we will have to wait for the results
this summer to find out.
The
competition in the GLP-1 arena really boils down to a handful of
companies: Amylin is the leader in late stage clinical trials, Novo
Nordisk is about to start a Phase III trial of a once daily
formulation called Liraglutide (they should have data at the ADA
conference in June from a Phase II) and Zealand Pharma’s twice
daily ZP10 (out-licensed to Aventis) is in phase I/IIa clinical
trials. The competitive landscape also includes the oral DPPIV
inhibitors in development by a few big pharma including Novartis. I
think ConjuChem may have the best product—although Novo Nordisk
has been very quiet about their entry. CJC’s market cap is about
$500 million (fully diluted US), which makes this the cheapest play.
The
stock has traded down some after moving up on the data release. I
personally own CJC and plan to hold my position through the release
of Phase II data later this summer. Other near-term drivers include
a potential NASDAQ listing and a partnership event.
As
a matter of disclosure I want all readers to know that I own many of
the stocks I write about in my personal account and always maintain
a long position. I am not a stock broker or a registered investment
adviser. I also write
about some of these stocks in alerts for BioPortfolio, which can be
found at www.bioportfolio.com
. Biotech Insight is a web-based newsletter published and
archived at www.biotechinsight.com.
Alerts and newsletters are sent electronically to subscribers.
The following is further disclosure: Dr. Garren is an advisor to two
funds investing in biotechnology. I recommend many of these same
stocks to the investment funds mentioned above. It should be noted
that certain funds go both long and short. The information in this
column under no circumstances serves as a recommendation to buy or
sell stocks. Please also see the disclosure about Biotech Insight
archived on BioPortfolio.
Ron Garren MD
info@biotechinsight.com
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