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Biotech Sage Subscription BioTech Stock Report - Small Setback - Forest Laboratories

On May 7th, Forest Laboratories reported a bit of bad news and its share price dipped to $51. The company said in clinical trials, memantine did not prove to be effective against neuropathic pain in diabetic patients. The study failed to demonstrate a statistically significant difference versus placebo treatment. Little details were given on the trial except Forest Labs said it is reviewing the data to decide whether, and how, the company can develop memantine for neuropathic pain, because earlier trials had suggested the drug memantine might be effective.

Neurobiological Technologies (Nasdaq:  NTII) along with Forest Labs is developing memantine for neuropathic pain.

In our opinion, the news is a minor set back for Forest Labs as most analysts did not expect memantine to receive FDA approval to treat neuropathic pain. The driver for memantine will be in the treatment for Alzheimer’s disease. As a reminder, the NDA for memantine was filed with the FDA on August 1, 2002, but Forest Labs withdrew its filing, as additional clinical trial results were becoming available. The FDA accepted the second filing for memantine in January 2003 and Forest is expecting to receive an initial action letter from the FDA by October 2003. Should the FDA find Forest’s application acceptable, memantine could be granted approval in late 2003 or early 2004.

Forest is presently conducting three additional placebo-controlled Phase III studies in mild-to-moderate and moderate-to severe Alzheimer’s. Recently, the company released data from the first of these three trials demonstrating no pharmacokinetic drug interactions between memantine and aricept.

Management appeared very confident that it has the appropriate data to get this drug approved.

In a six-month Phase III, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial with 400 patients that had moderate to severe Alzheimer’s disease, patients were treated with memantine or placebo in addition to their regular dose of aricept. At the completion of the trial, patients in the memantine plus aricept group had superior improvements in scores of cognition and behavior compared to the group that received aricept and placebo. These differences were statistically significant. The results of this study were submitted to the FDA in December 2002.

This trial provides interesting insight into the potential for improved outcomes for Alzheimer’s patients. Current medications used to treat Alzheimer’s are acetylcholinesterase (ACh) inhibitors and these merely provide relief of the symptoms of Azlheimer’s and are far from a cure. Any therapy that demonstrates an improvement in cognition will have important advantages over the ACh inhibitors, which merely slow the progression of the disease.

Memantine represents a novel approach to treat Alzheimer’s disease in that no drug currently available acts on the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptor and none are indicated for the treatment of the advanced form of the disease. The NMDA receptor binds the neurotransmitter glutamate, which is generally believed to be the most important excitatory transmitter in the brain.

With Alzheimer’s disease as memantine’s target it is no wonder Forest Labs and analysts are not worried about neuropathic pain. We think Forest has a winner with memantine.

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