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Biotech Sage Subscription BioTech Sage Report - Putting News in Perspective  – Millennium and Isis
December 10th 2002. Last week Millennium announced that the company plans to submit a new drug application (NDA) to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to market its anti-cancer drug Velcade based on the final results from Phase II patient testing. The company released those results from patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma on Monday, December 9th at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) meeting. The presentation reported the clinical usage of Velcade in two different studies for multiple myeloma patients, those in the advanced stages and the other whose cancer had relapsed or become refractory to conventional treatment.

The study investigators and Millennium provided important statistics in the clinical profile of Velcade that confirmed the response rate observed in the initial Phase II Velcade multiple myeloma study. Based on 193 evaluable patients, Velcade demonstrated compelling anti-cancer activity with 59% of patients achieving a partial response or disease stabilization, and 35% exhibiting an overall response defined as complete, partial or minor response. The median survival for patients was 16.4 months, and the median duration of response for the complete and partial response population was 12 months. The second part of the study was the safety data. Side effects were not limited to nausea, vomiting and diarrhea. Peripheral neuropathy, thrombocytopenia, neutropenia and anemia were reported in patients as well. Given that this patient population has no other alternative for treatment, the results are very good. Unfortunately, 21% of the patient population discontinued the therapy because of side effects.

In another clinical trial, referred to as the CREST study, Velcade was evaluated in 54 patients with multiple myeloma whose disease had relapsed after front-line therapy. The study also evaluated Velcade in the presence of other chemotherapy agents when Velcade was insufficient alone at two distinct doses. In one study the overall response rate was 50% for both complete and partial remission. However, in those patients who were not responding to Velcade, chemotherapy was added and the overall response rate increased to 62%, with 69 % of patients experiencing stabilization of their disease. In the second study, the overall response rate was 33% and combined with a chemotherapy, rate increased to 44%. In general, 59 % of patients experience stabilization of their disease. Thus, the results from these two studies indicate that Velcade can function synergistically with conventional chemotherapy when Velcade or conventional therapy alone is not sufficient.

Velcade gained FDA "fast-track" status, which means it could be approved six months after the application is submitted. Millennium plans to submit the NDA within the next few months to market Velcade as a treatment for relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma under a sub part H filing with the FDA. In other words, as long as Millennium can provide clinical studies that are well controlled and adequate, and support it with a larger random trial than the FDA may approve Velcade. Millennium is currently evaluating Velcade in a Phase III clinical study that began accruing patients in July. According to the company, the study is on track and will be completed. Given the newly released data, we foresee Velcade having a good chance of success.

Velcade is a novel proteosome inhibitor and is being evaluated as a single agent and in combination with other anti-cancer agents for a variety of different malignancies. Velcade appears to work by causing cancer cells to self-destruct, and has good potential to be used in other cancer types.

Even though we feel the news is encouraging for Millennium’s Velcade, Millennium shares traded down as the investing community frets over Millennium’s strategy of using Phase II data to gain FDA approval and the whether Velcade’s side effect and the drop out rate are serious enough for concern. After weighing all the factors, we believe Millennium has potential and will receive FDA approval.

Another biotech company that has been in limelight of late is ISIS Pharmaceuticals. As you may have read, the investment community is trying to understand the company’s Affinitac, an anti-sense drug that is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer. Wall Street analysts are guessing the outcome of the Phase III clinical trials, with some speculating that the drug will not show clinical benefit. For those investors hoping Affinitac will be successful, it was comforting to hear ISIS’ CEO vehemently defending Affinitac. Meanwhile, investors will have to wait until March 2003, when the trial is unblinded and the clinical data released. If the data is compelling and without ambiguity, look for ISIS to file an NDA to the FDA. Anti-sense has made progress for the better and eventually will have successes. Investors will need patience.

Velcade and Affinitac are complicated stories and pose a challenge for investors to understand the companies’ technology and value. Our mission is to help investors interpret the news and make a profit.  

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