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Recommendations Should Lead to Increased Aranesp and Neulasta Sales in Europe

Amgen's (NASDAQ: AMGN) long-acting bone marrow cell stimulants, Aranesp (hyperglycosylated recombinant darbepoetin alfa) and Neulasta (pegylated recombinant filgrastim, pegfilgrastim) both received a recommendation for approval from the European Committee on Proprietary Medicinal Products (CPMP) late yesterday, virtually assuring their E.U. marketing approval for expanded use in cancer-related indications. Aranesp (also branded as Nespo), a long-acting erythropoeitin (epo) formulation that stimulates red blood cell generation, has been recommended for use in the treatment of anemia in adult cancer patients with solid tumors receiving chemotherapy. Neulasta (also branded as Neupopeg), a long-acting granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) that stimulates white blood cell generation, has been recommended for use in reducing the duration of neutropenia (infection-predisposing low white blood cell count) and the incidence of febrile neutropenia in patients treated with cytotoxic chemotherapy for malignancy (with the exception of chronic myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndromes). In both cases, the CPMP's recommendation will be forwarded to the European Commission, which will make the final decision on Aranesp and Neulasta approval.

Aranesp

Aranesp is approved for use for the treatment of chronic renal failure-related anemia in both the U.S. and Europe, and is in U.S. regulatory review in the oncology setting. It is a second-generation version of Epogen (also from Amgen) and Procrit (from Johnson & Johnson, NYSE: JNJ). Aranesp's recommended starting dose is administered intravenously or subcutaneously once weekly, and it should be administered once every two weeks to patients currently receiving Epogen or Procrit once per week. Several studies suggest that Aranesp can be used once every three weeks, or even once a month. This extended dosing schedule is likely to be approved in 2003, and will allow Aranesp administration to coincide with many chemotherapy regimes, greatly accelerating Aranesp's cannibalization of Epogen and Procrit.

Hematologists are also beginning to treat "asymptomatic" anemia of chronic disease - including anemia associated with hypothyroidism, rheumatoid arthritis, coronary artery disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease - in the same way they treat anemia associated with renal failure. This will be yet another growth opportunity for Aranesp, first with off-label use and accelerating upon label expansion. Overall, the market for epo products is likely to grow from $5.3 billion in 2000 to $8.3 billion in 2005, with Aranesp capturing up to $2 billion of this market by 2005.

Neulasta

In late January, Neulasta was approved in the U.S. for use in cancer patients whose ability to fight infection has been weakened by chemotherapy. The drug should expand into most, if not all, of the clinical indications of Amgen's Neupogen, its short-acting counterpart. The agents are effective and have very few adverse effects. Neupogen and Neulasta should continue to dominate the neutropenia marketplace for the foreseeable future, reaching annual sales of $1.7 billion by 2005. Although many agents are in preclinical or early clinical trials for similar indications, none appear to have significant efficacy benefits over Neupogen or Neulasta.


BTECH NEWS
by Leon Henderson, M.D.
Bennett Weintraub, Ph.D.
Christopher Martin
www.btechnews.com
June 4, 2002

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