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[Comment] Tuberculosis—making predictions, especially about the future

21:45 EDT 18 Aug 2017 | The Lancet

The End TB Strategy aims to reduce the burden of tuberculosis worldwide until global prevalence reaches that already attained by many developed countries. The goal amounts to 90% reduction in the incidence of tuberculosis and 95% reduction in tuberculosis deaths.1 The strategy focuses on early detection and treatment and preventive therapy. In 2015, 4·3 million patients with tuberculosis are estimated to have gone undetected and untreated globally,2 which highlights the need for expanding case finding among those most at risk.

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